Sunday, November 11, 2007

FOREX CAPITAL MARKET(FXCM)

Forex Capital Markets (FXCM) is the largest Forex Dealer Member(or financial services firm specializing in retail forex), supplying online trading services for retail speculators in the foreign exchange market. The company has 90,000 clients and over 400 institutional customers from more than 80 countries. Approximately 500 employees, based in offices in New York City, London, Dallas, San Francisco, Hong Kong, and Tokyo provide 24-hour, multi-lingual sales, dealing, administrative, and technical support 7 days a week.

Retail forex is controversial because the high degree of leverage available in the market leads most retail traders to lose money, and because of the existence of many forex scams. Quoted in the Wall Street Journal regarding retail forex, (Currency Markets Draw Speculation, Fraud July 26, 2005) "Even people running the trading shops warn clients against trying to time the market. 'If 15% of day traders are profitable,' says Drew Niv, chief executive of FXCM, 'I'd be surprised.' "

In November 2005, Forex Capital Markets (FXCM) became entrenched in the bankruptcy proceedings of Refco, Inc (OTC:RFXCQ). Refco, a big commodities brokerage that collapsed amid an accounting scandal, has been largely purchased by Man Group. At the time Refco owned a 35% share in FXCM. FXCM is currently backing a client-led lawsuit against REFCO.

FXCM is a registered Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA). Ownership and regulatory information on FXCM are available at its National Futures Association (NFA) listing.

Like most market makers, FXCM's revenues come from five main sources:

  1. The Spread - The difference between the spread FXCM quotes to clients and the spread FXCM receives from the banks they offset from. If FXCM is unable to match a buyer and seller internally, FXCM will, after the positions become sufficiently large, offset with larger banks that quote them cheaper spreads.
  2. Internal matching of client trades - If the spread is 3 pips, and FXCM is able to match a buyer and a seller internally, they collect 3 pips.
  3. Interest on client deposits (like most online brokers, such as E*TRADE, these are a dependable and large source of income)
  4. The firm's own speculative positions in the market.
  5. Losses on clients' trades that were never offset.

Not all of the above apply to FXCM's "no-dealing-desk" trading option. In this set-up, trades are routed to other interbank market participants. FXCM then may not derive income from source two through five. This allows clients direct access to bank liquidity. However, all trades are still cleared through a dealing desk of some type as all banks have dealing desks.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET

The foreign exchange (currency or forex or FX) market exists wherever currency of one country is traded for another. It is by far the largest financial market in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, multinational corporations, governments, and other financial markets and institutions. The average daily trade in the global forex and related markets currently is over US$ 3 trillion. Retail traders (individuals) are a small fraction of this market and may only participate indirectly through brokers or banks, and are subject to forex scams.

Economic factors affecting forex market

These include economic policy, disseminated by government agencies and central banks, economic conditions, generally revealed through economic reports, and other economic indicators.

Economic policy comprises government fiscal policy (budget/spending practices) and monetary policy (the means by which a government's central bank influences the supply and "cost" of money, which is reflected by the level of interest rates).

Economic conditions include:

Government budget deficits or surpluses: The market usually reacts negatively to widening government budget deficits, and positively to narrowing budget deficits. The impact is reflected in the value of a country's currency.

Balance of trade levels and trends: The trade flow between countries illustrates the demand for goods and services, which in turn indicates demand for a country's currency to conduct trade. Surpluses and deficits in trade of goods and services reflect the competitiveness of a nation's economy. For example, trade deficits may have a negative impact on a nation's currency.

Inflation levels and trends: Typically, a currency will lose value if there is a high level of inflation in the country or if inflation levels are perceived to be rising. This is because inflation erodes purchasing power, thus demand, for that particular currency.

Economic growth and health: Reports such as gross domestic product (GDP), employment levels, retail sales, capacity utilization and others, detail the levels of a country's economic growth and health. Generally, the more healthy and robust a country's economy, the better its currency will perform, and the more demand for it there will be.


Thursday, November 1, 2007

FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES

In finance, the exchange rate (also known as the foreign-exchange rate, forex rate or FX rate) between two currencies specifies how much one currency is worth in terms of the other. For example an exchange rate of 123 Japanese yen (JPY, ¥) to the United States dollar (USD, $) means that JPY 123 is worth the same as USD 1. The foreign exchange market is one of the largest markets in the world. By some estimates, about 2 trillion USD worth of currency changes hands every day.

The spot exchange rate refers to the current exchange rate. The forward exchange rate refers to an exchange rate that is quoted and traded today but for delivery and payment on a specific future date.

A market based exchange rate will change whenever the values of either of the two component currencies change. A currency will tend to become more valuable whenever demand for it is greater than the available supply. It will become less valuable whenever demand is less than available supply (this does not mean people no longer want money, it just means they prefer holding their wealth in some other form, possibly another currency).

Increased demand for a currency is due to either an increased transaction demand for money, or an increased speculative demand for money. The transaction demand for money is highly correlated to the country's level of business activity, gross domestic product (GDP), and employment levels. The more people there are out of work, the less the public as a whole will spend on goods and services. Central banks typically have little difficulty adjusting the available money supply to accommodate changes in the demand for money due to business transactions.

The speculative demand for money is much harder for a central bank to accommodate but they try to do this by adjusting interest rates. An investor may choose to buy a currency if the return (that is the interest rate) is high enough. The higher a country's interest rates, the greater the demand for that currency. It has been argued that currency speculation can undermine real economic growth, in particular since large currency speculators may deliberately create downward pressure on a currency in order to force that central bank to sell their currency to keep it stable (once this happens, the speculator can buy the currency back from the bank at a lower price, close out their position, and thereby take a profit).

In choosing what type of asset to hold, people are also concerned that the asset will retain its value in the future. Most people will not be interested in a currency if they think it will devalue. A currency will tend to lose value, relative to other currencies, if the country's level of inflation is relatively higher, if the country's level of output is expected to decline, or if a country is troubled by political uncertainty. For example, when Russian President Vladimir Putin dismissed his Government on February 24, 2004, the price of the ruble dropped. When China announced plans for its first manned space mission, synthetic futures on Chinese yuan jumped (since China's currency is officially pegged, synthetic markets have emerged that can behave as if the yuan were floating).

The foreign exchange markets are usually highly liquid as the world's main international banks provide a market around-the-clock. The Bank for International Settlements reported that global foreign exchange market turnover daily averages in April was $650 billion in 1998 (at constant exchange rates) and increased to $1.9 trillion in 2004 (Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity 2004 - Final Results). The biggest foreign exchange trading centre is London, followed by New York and Tokyo.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES

Foreign exchange reserves (also called Forex reserves) in a strict sense are only the foreign currency deposits held by central banks and monetary authorities. However, the term foreign exchange reserves in popular usage commonly includes foreign exchange and gold, SDRs and IMF reserve position as this total figure is more readily available, however it is accurately deemed as official reserves or international reserves. These are assets of the central banks which are held in different reserve currencies such as the dollar, euro and yen, and which are used to back its liabilities, e.g. the local currency issued, and the various bank reserves deposited with the central bank, by the government or financial institutions.
Foreign exchange reserves are important indicators of ability to repay foreign debt and for currency defense, and are used to determine credit ratings of nations, however, other government funds that are counted as liquid assets that can be applied to liabilities in times of crisis include stabilization funds, otherwise known as Sovereign wealth funds. If those were included, Norway and Persian Gulf States would rank higher on these lists, and UAE's $1.3 trillion Abu Dhabi Investment Authority would be second after China. Singapore also has significant government funds including Temasek Holdings and GIC. India is also planning to create its own investment firm from its forex reserves.