Thursday, October 25, 2007

RETAILL FOREX TRADING

Retail Forex Trading

As previously mentioned, currencies fluctuate relative to other currencies. Take two of the most common currency pairs, the EUR/USD (the price for Euros in US dollars) and the GBP/USD (the price for The Great British Pound in US dollars). If there is positive economic news in the Euro zone and negative economic news in the United Kingdom, it is very conceivable that the EUR/USD would go up in value, meaning it is now more expensive in US dollars to purchase one EUR, and that the GBP/USD would go down in value, meaning it is now cheaper to buy Great British Pounds with US dollars. In this scenario, the US dollar went up in value against one currency and down in relation to another. It is important to understand this idea that currency pairs move mostly independently from one another. Currency pairs with similar currencies on one side (like the USD in the previous example) can be similarly affected by news regarding the common currency, but the crucial concept is that they don’t have to be.

Retail Forex is usually highly leveraged

The idea of margin (leverage) and floating loss is another important trading concept and is perhaps best understood using an example. Most retail Forex market makers permit 100:1 leverage, but also, crucially, require you to have a certain amount of money in your account to protect against a critical loss point. For example, if a $100,000 position is held in Eur/USD on 100:1 leverage, the trader has to put up $1,000 to control the position. However, in the event of a declining value of your positions, Forex market makers, mindful of the fast nature of Forex price swings and the amplifying effect of leverage, typically do not allow their traders to go negative and make up the difference at a later date. In order to make sure the trader does not lose more money than is held in the account, Forex market makers typically employ automatic systems to close out positions when clients run out of margin (the amount of money in their account not tied to a position). If the trader has $2,000 in his account, and he is buying a $100,000 lot of EUR/USD, he has $1,000 of his $2,000 tied up in margin, with $1,000 left to allow his position to fluctuate downward without being closed out.

Typically a trader's trading platform will show him three important numbers associated with his account: his balance, his equity, and his margin remaining. If trader X has two positions: $100,000 long (buy) in EUR/USD, and $100,000 short (sell) in GBP/USD, and he has $10,000 in his account, his positions would look as follows: Because of the 100:1 leverage, it took him $1,000 to control each position. This means that he has used up $2,000 in his margin, out of a $10,000 account, and thus he has $8,000 of margin still available. With this margin, he can either take more positions or keep the margin relatively high to allow his current positions to be maintained in the event of downturns. If the client chooses to open a new position of $100,000, this will again take another $1,000 of his margin, leaving $7,000. He will have used up $3,000 in margin among the three positions. The other way margin will decrease is if the positions he currently has open lose money. If his 3 positions of $100,000 decrease by $5,000 in value (not at all an unusual swing), he now has, of his original $7,000 in margin, only $2,000 left. As discussed above, if you have a $10,000 account and only open one $100,000 position, this has committed only $1,000 of your money plus you must maintain $1,000 in margin. While this leaves $9,000 free in your account, it is possible to lose almost all of it if the position dives. On the other hand, if you have 5 positions open in a $10,000 account, you can lose only $5,000 because the other $5,000 is held in margin. However, this does not make it safer to hold more positions. The Forex market fluctuates so rapidly, that with shallow margins, you are much more likely to be closed out of your position and lose it entirely when it might have recovered from a temporary fluctuation if you had had sufficient margin to cover the variation. The more positions open at one time, the more risk the trader is exposed to.

Transaction costs and market makers

Market makers are well compensated for allowing retail clients to enter the Forex market. They take part or all of the spread in all currency pairs traded. In a common example, EUR/USD, the spread is typically 3 pips (3/100 of a percent). Thus prices are quoted with both a Buy and Sell price (e.g., Buy Eur/USD 1.2000, Sell Eur/USD 1.2003). That difference of 3 pips is the spread and can amount to a significant amount of money. (Note: the spread is only taken out at the beginning of the trade; this transaction cost is subtracted only upon entering the trade, not leaving it) Because the typical standard lot is 100,000 units of the base currency, those 3 pips on EUR/USD translate to $30 paid by the client to the market maker. However, a pip is not always $10. A pip is 1/100th of a percent, and the currency pairs are always purchased by buying 100,000 of the base currency, which is also known as the counter currency. For the pair EUR/USD, the base currency is USD; thus, 1/100th of a percent on a pair with USD as the base currency will always have a pip of $10. If, on the other hand, your currency has Swiss Frank (CHF) as a base instead of USD, then 1/100th of a percent is now worth around $8, because you are buying 100,000 worth of Swiss Franks.

If a trader with a $10,000 account on 100:1 leverage felt, after reading reports on the economy, that the USD was going to go up in value against the EUR and the CHF, he would Sell EUR/USD (thus selling EUR and buying USD) and Buy USD/CHF (buying USD and selling CHF). The transaction is all electronic, so the trader doesn’t need to have Euros in his account. On a large scale, the market maker can sell Euros on behalf of the trader, knowing that the position will eventually be closed and converted back to USD. Assume that the client sold 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2000 and bought 100,000 USD/CHF at 1.2500. Seconds after this transaction, his account would read: Balance: $10,000, Equity $9,946. The loss of $54 is due to the transaction cost taken only at the entry of a position of 3 pips, which translates to $30 for the EUR/USD pair and $24 for the USD/CHF pair. With equity of $9,946 on 100:1 leverage with 2 positions opened, $2,000 is now held in margin, leaving the trader $7,946 in usable margin. Suppose the EUR/USD (sold at 1.2003) starts to move against the trader and goes up in value to 1.2013, while the USD/CHF (bought at 1.2500) starts moving for the client and also goes up in value to 1.2515. His account information will have changed but his balance and margin will remain unchanged at $10,000 and $2,000 respectively. His equity and his usable margin, however, will change to reflect the new market conditions. While for the trader, the platform will calculate this all automatically, it is important to see it step by step.

FOREX TRADER'S RIGHTS

The Forex Trader’s Bill of Rights (2005) is a non-fiction book about the foreign currency trading market, published by OANDA_Corporation. It is primarily a call to arms for currency traders to call for greater transparency and accountability within the market. The overleaf provided with the printed version of the book states: “Big banks and confederated brokerages have overcomplicated forex: trading costs are inflated, unnecessary risk abounds, and the system is grossly unfair.” Essentially, the book elaborates on this premise, detailing ways in which traders are being unfairly treated and encouraging them to take action.

OANDA is a company that provides currency trading tools for investors, travelers, and businesses. As such, there is an unavoidable marketing aspect to this publication. However, OANDA is not mentioned throughout the book. There has been a clear effort to maintain a relatively neutral point of view. The back cover does state “OANDA is a leading provider of online currency trading…FXTrade…enables all currency investors to change the way forex trading is done”.

The authors believe currency investors have 10 basic rights which are being violated: each short chapter deals with one of these rights. They are:
1. The right to immediate, uncensored access to the marketplace
2. The right to trade real spot
3. The right to know
4. The right to trade whenever you want
5. The right to equal treatment
6. The right to choose and manage risk
7. The right to understand cost
8. The right to learn – on your own, or through free exchange with other traders
9. The right to full disclosure
10. The right to pay and receive interest

1) The right to immediate, uncensored access to the marketplace Chapter one argues that when trading traditionally (with banks etc.,) execution and price are affected by who you are (size of your order/ relationship with your market maker etc.), the amount of greed on the part of the market maker, and manual intervention which can delay the trade. The chapter calls for transparency, fairness, and efficiency for traders from market makers.

2) The right to trade real spot
Chapter two addresses unnecessary delays in settlement of trades, which according to the authors increase risk for investors.

3) The right to know
The third chapter states that market makers share information based on who you are: in some cases they share information that should not be shared; in other cases they do not share information that should be publicly available. This leads to an unfair advantage.

4) The right to trade whenever you want
The chapter asserts that market makers may advertise 24 hour trading but they close the books on Friday. However, world events which affect currency price occur on weekends. The argument continues that since the technology for 24/7 trading is available, it should be offered by all market makers.

5) The right to equal treatment
Chapter five argues that every trader should be given the same price and spread, and that market makers should not discriminate between traders.

6) The right to choose and manage risk
Traders are encouraged to use a market maker who does not require high minimums, lets them trade any amount, and provides immediate settlement as a way of minimizing risk.

7) The right to understand cost
It is reasoned that traders have the right to understand spreads, as well as who gets a “cut” and why. This chapter also includes a profitability calculator.

8) The right to learn – on your own, or through free exchange with other traders
This chapter covers multiple ways to learn about trading, and test new strategies, including trading games offered by online market makers and other sources of Internet information.

9) The right to full disclosure
The book claims that a lack of transparency in pricing, execution, and after the trade needs to addressed. Market makers should publish statistics regarding real spreads and prices and traders should demand that they do this.

10) The right to pay and receive interest
It is argued that continuous interest should be introduced, which would make for price flows that are less volatile

Tuesday, October 23, 2007

ONLINE INVESTMENT

Investing online has become the norm for investors and traders over the past decade with many, if not all brokers now offering online services with unique trading platforms.

In the past, investors had to call up their brokers and place an order on the phone. The broker would then enter the order in their system which was linked to trading floors and exchanges.

With the advent of the internet, investors can now enter orders directly online, or even trade with other investors via ECN's (electronic communication networks). Some orders entered online are still routed through the broker allowing agents to approve or monitor the trades. This step assists in the protection of both the client and brokerage firm from unlawful or incorrect trades which could affect the client’s portfolio or the broker’s license.

Online brokers are most often referred to as discount brokers, due to their lower fees as opposed to full service brokers who also give advice to clients.

Before choosing to invest or trade online it is important for investors to research the online brokers that they plan to employ, assuring that they are licensed within their state or provincial jurisdiction. This step will help to protect investors from falling victim to unlawful or illegal securities schemes (Boiler Room).

Investors must also fully understand the potential risks of investing without the help of a trained Stock Broker or Investment Advisor. These professionals are experienced both in trade and education and forgoing their advice could be costly.

Once the above two steps are complete it is dually important to research the sector, business and financial statements of each company whose stock they plan to purchase. This, along with diversification and basic portfolio theory, will assist to mitigate some of the risks associated with the volatility in both the stocks and the stock markets.

Once investors have chosen the online brokerage that best suites their needs, they will be provided a trading platform. This platform acts as the hub, allowing investors to purchase and sell securities (fixed income and equities), options and forex. Included with the platform are tools to track and monitor securities, portfolios and indices, as well as research tools, real-time streaming quotes and up-to-date news releases; all of which are necessary to trade profitably.

Some of the popular online brokers include: Etrade, Scottrade, Ameritrade, and Fidelity. Commissions vary from broker to broker, depending on the services included with the account.

Monday, October 22, 2007

FOREX SCAM

A forex scam is any trading scheme used to defraud individual traders by convincing them that they can expect to gain an unreasonably high profit by trading in the foreign exchange market, which would be a zero-sum game were it not for the fact that there are brokerage commissions, which technically make forex a "negative-sum" game.

These scams might include churning of customer accounts for the purpose of generating commissions, selling software that is supposed to guide the customer to large profits, improperly managed "managed accounts", false advertising, Ponzi schemes and outright fraud.It also refers to any retail forex broker who indicates that trading foreign exchange is a low risk, high profit investment.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which loosely regulates the foreign exchange market in the United States, has noted an increase in the amount of unscrupulous activity in the non-bank foreign exchange industry.

An official of the National Futures Association was quoted as saying, "Retail forex trading has increased dramatically over the past few years. Unfortunately, the amount of forex fraud has also increased dramatically..." Between 2001 and 2006 the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has prosecuted more than 80 cases involving the defrauding of more than 23,000 customers who lost $300 million, mostly in managed accounts. CNN also quoted Godfried De Vidts, President of the Financial Markets Association, a European body, as saying, "Banks have a duty to protect their customers and they should make sure customers understand what they are doing. Now if people go online, on non-bank portals, how is this control being done?"

The highly technical nature of retail forex industry, the OTC nature of the market, and the loose regulation of the market, leaves retail speculators vulnerable. Defrauded traders and regulatory authorities can find it very difficult to prove that market manipulation has occurred since there is no central currency market, but rather a number of more or less interconnected marketplaces provided by interbank market makers.


Saturday, October 13, 2007

forex

Retail forex brokers or market makers handle a minute fraction of the total volume of the foreign exchange market. According to CNN, one retail broker estimates retail volume at $25–50 billion daily, which is about 2% of the whole market and it has been reported by the CFTC website that unexperienced investors may become targets of forex scams.
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